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US unemployment rate at year-end 2030

Markets

  • Above 10.0%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $800

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.5%

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.0%

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.5%

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 8.0%

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 8.5%

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 9.0%

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 9.5%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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