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Fed funds rate at end of 2030

Markets

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $643 · Liquidity $577

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $628.5 · Liquidity $430.5

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $562 · Liquidity $200

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $493 · Liquidity $193

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $290 · Liquidity $170

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $287.8 · Liquidity $156.3

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $286 · Liquidity $45

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $272 · Liquidity $167

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $170 · Liquidity $116

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $157 · Liquidity $104

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $113 · Liquidity $95

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $103 · Liquidity $53

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $75 · Liquidity $46

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $51 · Liquidity $36

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $51 · Liquidity $7

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $39.2 · Liquidity $34

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $10

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $3.7 · Liquidity $3.7

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2030, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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