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Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?

Markets

  • At least 115 million

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • At least 140 million

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • At least 120 million

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $402.1

  • At least 110 million

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • At least 100 million

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $4.3K

  • At least 125 million

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $280.6

  • At least 105 million

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1K

  • At least 90 million

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1K

  • At least 130 million

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $478.7 · Liquidity $434.2

  • At least 135 million

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $433.5 · Liquidity $351

  • At least 95 million

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $319 · Liquidity $317

  • At least 75 million

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $40 · Liquidity $40

  • At least 150 million

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $6.6 · Liquidity $4.6

  • At least 80 million

    • Yes96%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 85 million

    • Yes94%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 145 million

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Alaska's statewide commercial harvest of all salmon for the 2026 season is at least 75 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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