Grocery inflation at the end of 2026?
Markets
Above 2.5%
- Yes43%
- No57%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $1.3K
Above 1.0%
- Yes95%
- No5%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $200
Above 3.5%
- Yes34%
- No66%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $409.8
Above 3.0%
- Yes34%
- No66%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $491
Above 1.5%
- Yes87%
- No13%
Volume $500 · Liquidity $200
Above 2.0%
- Yes57%
- No43%
Volume $2.9 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
CPI YoY in December
Above 3.0%: 96%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
CPI in December
Above -0.1%: 92%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
CPI in December (exact value)
Exactly -0.2%: 50%
24h vol $25 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI in December (exact value)
Exactly 0.3%: 32%
24h vol $11 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI YoY in December (exact value)
Exactly 2.8%: 18%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
CPI YoY in December (exact value)
Exactly 4.4%: 13%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Will wages beat inflation in 2026?
No: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
State of the economy at the end of 2026
Overheating: 75%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI YoY in December
Above 2.1%: 98%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI in December
Above 0.0%: 95%
24h vol $542.3 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report
Above 181.2 bu/acre: 50%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 12, 2027
Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?
At least 75 million: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 14, 2027