CPI YoY in December
Markets
Above 3.8%
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volume $69.1K · Liquidity $34.4K
Above 3.9%
- Yes41%
- No59%
Volume $62.8K · Liquidity $28.7K
Above 4.9%
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $21.3K · Liquidity $11.4K
Above 4.1%
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volume $16.8K · Liquidity $9.9K
Above 4.0%
- Yes34%
- No66%
Volume $16.5K · Liquidity $8.8K
Above 4.4%
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $13.9K · Liquidity $9.3K
Above 4.8%
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $13.9K · Liquidity $10.5K
Above 3.4%
- Yes88%
- No12%
Volume $12.7K · Liquidity $3.3K
Above 4.7%
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $12.4K · Liquidity $6.2K
Above 4.3%
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volume $12.1K · Liquidity $7.6K
Above 3.2%
- Yes92%
- No8%
Volume $10.8K · Liquidity $4.4K
Above 4.5%
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $10.5K · Liquidity $6.9K
Above 3.5%
- Yes86%
- No14%
Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $5K
Above 3.3%
- Yes95%
- No5%
Volume $8.4K · Liquidity $6K
Above 3.1%
- Yes96%
- No4%
Volume $8K · Liquidity $3.9K
Above 3.7%
- Yes65%
- No35%
Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $2.1K
Above 5.0%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $1.8K
Above 4.6%
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $3.5K
Above 4.2%
- Yes34%
- No66%
Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $1.8K
Above 3.0%
- Yes96%
- No4%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $1.9K
Above 3.6%
- Yes82%
- No18%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $779
Resolution rules
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
CPI YoY in November
Above 3.3%: 99%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
CPI in December
Above -0.1%: 92%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
CPI in December (exact value)
Exactly -0.2%: 50%
24h vol $25 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI in December (exact value)
Exactly 0.3%: 32%
24h vol $11 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI YoY in December (exact value)
Exactly 2.8%: 18%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
CPI YoY in December (exact value)
Exactly 4.4%: 13%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Grocery inflation at the end of 2026?
Above 1.0%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Will wages beat inflation in 2026?
No: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
State of the economy at the end of 2026
Overheating: 75%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI YoY in December
Above 2.1%: 98%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI in December
Above 0.0%: 95%
24h vol $542.3 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report
Above 181.2 bu/acre: 50%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 12, 2027

