Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
Markets
Maintains rate
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $4.6K
Hike 25bps
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $8.5K · Liquidity $5.3K
Cut 25bps
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.3K
Cut >25bps
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K
Hike >25bps
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $67.2 · Liquidity $67.2
Resolution rules
If the Bank of Canada takes the action of cut greater than 25bps at its Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Above 2.75%: 98%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Fed median dot plot in December 2026
Above 3.9%: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
Hike 25bps: 75%
24h vol $15.9K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?
Yes: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December
Maintain current rate: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Turkey rate decision in December
Cut 1-250bps: 77%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Core CPI YoY in November
Above 2.0%: 99%
24h vol $792 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Core CPI in November
Above 0.0%: 99%
24h vol $9 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
CPI YoY in November
Above 3.3%: 99%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
CPI in November
Above -0.1%: 89%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Core CPI YoY in November (exact value)
Exactly 2.9%: 26%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
CPI YoY in November (exact value)
Exactly 3.2%: 57%
24h vol $29 · Ends Dec 10, 2026