Fed decision in Dec 2026?
Markets
Fed maintains rate
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $408.8K · Liquidity $256.1K
Hike >25bps
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $287.5K · Liquidity $208.2K
Hike 25bps
- Yes75%
- No25%
Volume $255.2K · Liquidity $153K
Cut 25bps
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $222.8K · Liquidity $189.2K
Cut >25bps
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $133.9K · Liquidity $125.6K
Resolution rules
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
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Fed maintains rate: 58%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends Jan 27, 2027
Fed decision in Mar 2027?
Hike 25bps: 68%
24h vol $2K · Ends Mar 17, 2027
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 61%
24h vol $818.1 · Ends Apr 28, 2027
Fed decision in Jun 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jun 9, 2027
Fed decision in Jul 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 77%
24h vol $70.5 · Ends Jul 28, 2027
Fed decision in Sep 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Sep 15, 2027
Fed decision in Oct 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 81%
24h vol $219.1 · Ends Oct 27, 2027
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
Fed maintains rate: 58%
24h vol $6 · Ends Dec 8, 2027
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
Fed maintains rate: 62%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 26, 2028
Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?
Yes: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Above 2.75%: 98%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Dec 9, 2026
Fed median dot plot in December 2026
Above 3.9%: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 9, 2026