European Central Bank rate decision in December
Markets
Hike 1-25bps
- Yes79%
- No21%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.5K
Maintain current rate
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $883.6
Hike more than 25bps
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $417.8 · Liquidity $201.8
Cut 1-25bps
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $236 · Liquidity $235
Cut more than 25bps
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $235 · Liquidity $235
Resolution rules
If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at December ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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Hike 1-25bps: 54%
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Bank of Mexico rate decision in December
Maintain current rate: 81%
24h vol $35 · Ends Dec 17, 2026
Bank of Japan rate decision in December
Hike 25bps: 72%
24h vol $176 · Ends Dec 18, 2026
Will Michigan consumer sentiment go above 65 in 2026?
No: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 18, 2026
Will Nebraska cattle on feed rise YoY?
No: 61%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 18, 2026
Paper price index in November 2026
Above 275: 94%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Dec 15, 2026
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
Above 0.0%: 90%
24h vol $4.2 · Ends Dec 23, 2026
CPI YoY in November
Above 3.3%: 99%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
CPI in November
Above -0.1%: 89%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Dec 10, 2026
Core CPI YoY in November (exact value)
Exactly 2.9%: 26%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Dec 10, 2026