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Bank of Japan rate decision in December

Markets

  • Hike 25bps

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Maintain current rate

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $527.9 · Liquidity $463

  • Hike more than 25bps

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $187.8 · Liquidity $177.8

  • Cut more than 25bps

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $93.8 · Liquidity $93.8

  • Cut 25bps

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $93.8 · Liquidity $93.8

Resolution rules

If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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