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Bank of Mexico rate decision in December

Markets

  • Maintain current rate

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $667.6 · Liquidity $482.6

  • Hike 25bps

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $573.7 · Liquidity $168.7

  • Cut 25bps

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $423.2 · Liquidity $352.1

  • Hike 50bps

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $246.1 · Liquidity $81.1

  • Hike more than 50bps

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $133.2 · Liquidity $52.1

  • Cut 50bps

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $103.2 · Liquidity $52.1

  • Cut more than 50bps

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $75.2 · Liquidity $52.1

Resolution rules

If the Bank of Mexico takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at December Bank of Mexico Governing Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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