Core CPI YoY in December
Markets
Above 2.5%
- Yes93%
- No7%
Volume $21.1K · Liquidity $8.5K
Above 3.1%
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $20.2K · Liquidity $6.2K
Above 2.6%
- Yes86%
- No14%
Volume $16.2K · Liquidity $6.3K
Above 3.2%
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $16K · Liquidity $8.1K
Above 2.7%
- Yes77%
- No23%
Volume $15.7K · Liquidity $4.6K
Above 3.0%
- Yes28%
- No72%
Volume $15.5K · Liquidity $5.4K
Above 3.3%
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $15.3K · Liquidity $6.6K
Above 2.8%
- Yes71%
- No29%
Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $2.2K
Above 2.9%
- Yes44%
- No56%
Volume $9.3K · Liquidity $630
Above 3.4%
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $3.6K
Above 2.2%
- Yes96%
- No4%
Volume $7.5K · Liquidity $2.4K
Above 2.4%
- Yes96%
- No4%
Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $3.2K
Above 3.5%
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $1.3K
Above 2.3%
- Yes96%
- No4%
Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $3K
Above 2.1%
- Yes98%
- No2%
Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.8K
Resolution rules
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
Core CPI YoY in November
Above 2.0%: 99%
24h vol $792 · Ends Dec 10, 2026
State of the economy at the end of 2026
Overheating: 75%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI in December
Above 0.0%: 95%
24h vol $542.3 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
CPI YoY in December
Above 3.0%: 96%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
CPI in December
Above -0.1%: 92%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Jan 13, 2027
CPI in December (exact value)
Exactly -0.2%: 50%
24h vol $25 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI in December (exact value)
Exactly 0.3%: 32%
24h vol $11 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Core CPI YoY in December (exact value)
Exactly 2.8%: 18%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
CPI YoY in December (exact value)
Exactly 4.4%: 13%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Grocery inflation at the end of 2026?
Above 1.0%: 95%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
Will wages beat inflation in 2026?
No: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 13, 2027
US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report
Above 181.2 bu/acre: 50%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 12, 2027

