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Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

Markets

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $50.1K · Liquidity $50.1K

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $25.4K · Liquidity $25.3K

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $10.1K · Liquidity $10.1K

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $882

  • Above 0.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 0.25%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 0.50%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 0.75%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $14 · Liquidity $14

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $13 · Liquidity $13

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $12 · Liquidity $12

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $12 · Liquidity $12

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $11 · Liquidity $11

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $10

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $10

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $9 · Liquidity $9

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes40%
    • No61%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes49%
    • No52%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.00% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 8, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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