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Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?

Markets

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $14K · Liquidity $11.5K

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $5.4K

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $750.8

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $872.9

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $998.8

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $947.8

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $323.4

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $310.1

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $590.1

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $203.3

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $485

  • Above 0.75%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $583.3

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $241.3

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $915.7 · Liquidity $142.3

  • Above 0.25%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $872 · Liquidity $361

  • Above 0.00%

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $782.9 · Liquidity $327.9

  • Above 0.50%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $680 · Liquidity $258

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $16 · Liquidity $7

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $4

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes48%
    • No53%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.00% following the Federal Reserve's Mar 17, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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