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Fed funds rate after Jan 2028 meeting?

Markets

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 0.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 0.25%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 0.50%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 0.75%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $15 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes53%
    • No48%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes49%
    • No52%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes40%
    • No61%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 26, 2028 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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