Fed decision in Jan 2028?
Markets
Hike >25bps
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.2K
Cut >25bps
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $240
Fed maintains rate
- Yes62%
- No38%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $420.5
Cut 25bps
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $470
Hike 25bps
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $637.7 · Liquidity $147
Resolution rules
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 26, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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