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Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026

Markets

  • Above 17.0 million barrels

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $15K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Above 16.5 million barrels

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $14K · Liquidity $3.7K

  • Above 15.5 million barrels

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $9.7K · Liquidity $1K

  • Above 18.0 million barrels

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $3.1K

  • Above 16.0 million barrels

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Above 17.5 million barrels

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $8.9K · Liquidity $2.2K

Resolution rules

If the Kentucky Distillers’ Association reports that the number of Bourbon barrels aging in Kentucky as of January 1, 2026 was above 15.5 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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