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How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?

Markets

  • Above 15 days

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $39.6K · Liquidity $9.6K

  • Above 20 days

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $35.5K · Liquidity $13.3K

  • Above 25 days

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $30.9K · Liquidity $8.1K

  • Above 12 days

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $28.6K · Liquidity $8.3K

  • Above 30 days

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $17.2K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Above 10 days

    Closed
    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $12.8K · Liquidity $5.4K

Resolution rules

If the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 is above 10 days, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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