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How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?

Markets

  • Above 9.75%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $898 · Liquidity $749

  • Above 9.00%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $889.4 · Liquidity $447.4

  • Above 8.00%

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $783.4 · Liquidity $209.5

  • Above 9.50%

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $680 · Liquidity $630

  • Above 8.75%

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $660 · Liquidity $400

  • Above 9.25%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $646 · Liquidity $360

  • Above 10.00%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $500 · Liquidity $500

  • Above 8.50%

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $283 · Liquidity $249

  • Above 8.25%

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $32.5 · Liquidity $16.9

  • Above 7.25%

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $1.2 · Liquidity $1.2

  • Above 7.00%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.50%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.75%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the 30-Yr FRM is above 7.00% in any Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) release published in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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