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US unemployment rate at year-end 2027

Markets

  • Above 9.0%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $800

  • Above 8.0%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $700 · Liquidity $700

  • Above 8.5%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $500 · Liquidity $500

  • Above 9.5%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $500 · Liquidity $500

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $16.9 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes95%
    • No6%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.5%

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.0%

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.5%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 10.0%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2027 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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