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Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Markets

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $25.6K · Liquidity $13.8K

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $20.5K · Liquidity $7.9K

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $18.7K · Liquidity $6.9K

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $18.5K · Liquidity $6.6K

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $16.5K · Liquidity $8.4K

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $5.3K

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $2K

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $858

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1K

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $813.2

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $712.4

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $879.7 · Liquidity $334.7

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $851 · Liquidity $467.9

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $612 · Liquidity $361

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $310.7 · Liquidity $146.4

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $269 · Liquidity $91

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $233.2 · Liquidity $164.2

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $196.3 · Liquidity $55

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $113 · Liquidity $26

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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