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US nominal GDP growth in 2026

Markets

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $912.5 · Liquidity $903.5

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $490 · Liquidity $490

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $130 · Liquidity $112

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $37 · Liquidity $35

  • Above 1.5%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 2.0%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 2.5%

    • Yes96%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes96%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 0.0%

    • Yes98%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 0.5%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 1.0%

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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