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US nominal GDP growth in 2034

Markets

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $12 · Liquidity $12

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $9 · Liquidity $7

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $5.5 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $5.2 · Liquidity $2

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $3 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 0.5%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $2.2 · Liquidity $1.2

  • Above 0.0%

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 2.5%

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $0.2 · Liquidity $0.2

  • Above 2.0%

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $0.1 · Liquidity $0.1

  • Above 1.0%

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $0.1 · Liquidity $0.1

  • Above 1.5%

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2034 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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