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US nominal GDP growth in 2036

Markets

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $300.6 · Liquidity $282.2

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $274.2 · Liquidity $268.2

  • Above 1.5%

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $10.5 · Liquidity $0.1

  • Above 2.5%

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $5.4 · Liquidity $2

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $2

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $3.4 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 0.0%

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 2.0%

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $1.5 · Liquidity $0.9

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $0.4 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $0.4 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 1.0%

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $0.1 · Liquidity $0.1

  • Above 0.5%

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2036 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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