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US headline CPI inflation in December 2034

Markets

  • Above 0.5%

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $445.2 · Liquidity $206.3

  • Above 1.0%

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $426.9 · Liquidity $136.3

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $347.3 · Liquidity $61.3

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $270 · Liquidity $7

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $220 · Liquidity $46

  • Above 0.0%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $142.2 · Liquidity $118.2

  • Above 1.5%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $48.1 · Liquidity $23

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $19 · Liquidity $17

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $16.3 · Liquidity $8.3

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $16.2 · Liquidity $7.1

  • Above 2.0%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $12.2 · Liquidity $7.2

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $8 · Liquidity $6

  • Above 2.5%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $3

Resolution rules

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2034 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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