US trade deficit for 2029
Markets
Above $1.2 trillion
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above $900 billion
- Yes72%
- No28%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above $1.0 trillion
- Yes43%
- No57%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above $1.1 trillion
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above $500 billion
- Yes97%
- No3%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above $600 billion
- Yes97%
- No3%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above $700 billion
- Yes97%
- No4%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Above $800 billion
- Yes92%
- No8%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2029 is strictly above $500 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
US trade deficit for 2030
Above $500 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 3, 2031
US trade deficit for 2028
Above $500 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 5, 2029
US trade deficit for 2031
Above $600 billion: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 2, 2032
US trade deficit for 2027
Above $500 billion: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 4, 2028
US trade deficit for 2026?
Above 170 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
US trade deficit for 2032
Above $500 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 7, 2033
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
Above 0.0%: 92%
24h vol $40 · Ends Feb 1, 2030
US nominal GDP growth in 2029
Above 2.0%: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 28, 2030
US real GDP growth in 2029?
2.1% to 2.5%: 16%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2030
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2029
Above 56.50%: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 4, 2030
US unemployment rate at year-end 2029
Above 3.0%: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 4, 2030
How high will unemployment get before 2030?
Above 5%: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 4, 2030