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US unemployment rate at year-end 2029

Markets

  • Above 10.0%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Above 9.5%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.5%

    • Yes48%
    • No52%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.0%

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.5%

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 8.0%

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 8.5%

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 9.0%

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2029 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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