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US unemployment rate at year-end 2036

Markets

  • Above 9.0%

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $4

  • Above 7.5%

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $3 · Liquidity $3

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $2

  • Above 10.0%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 6.5%

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 7.0%

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 8.0%

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 8.5%

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above 9.5%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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