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US headline CPI inflation in December 2036

Markets

  • Above 0.5%

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $794.4 · Liquidity $243.8

  • Above 0.0%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $384 · Liquidity $240

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $240.8 · Liquidity $34

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $101 · Liquidity $19

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $32.1 · Liquidity $14.1

  • Above 1.5%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $30.2 · Liquidity $4.2

  • Above 6.0%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $23 · Liquidity $6

  • Above 3.0%

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $18 · Liquidity $12

  • Above 5.5%

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $18 · Liquidity $6

  • Above 1.0%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $16 · Liquidity $7

  • Above 2.0%

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $9 · Liquidity $6

  • Above 3.5%

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $7 · Liquidity $4

  • Above 2.5%

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $6 · Liquidity $4

Resolution rules

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2036 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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