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Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Markets

  • United Kingdom

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $82.6K · Liquidity $13.4K

  • Japan

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $35.2K · Liquidity $3.6K

  • China

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $34.2K · Liquidity $11.4K

  • India

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $23.9K · Liquidity $6.1K

Resolution rules

If United Kingdom has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.