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When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $78 · Liquidity $78

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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