Skip to content

Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)

Markets

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $837.9

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥8%

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $0.8 · Liquidity $0.8

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥16%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff in the state of Minas Gerais is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses