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Bulgarian presidential first round: Yotova margin of victory

Markets

  • Iliana Yotova, ≥35%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $158.9 · Liquidity $158.9

  • Iliana Yotova, ≥30%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $42 · Liquidity $42

  • Iliana Yotova, ≥5%

    • Yes98%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Iliana Yotova, ≥10%

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Iliana Yotova, ≥15%

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Iliana Yotova, ≥20%

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Iliana Yotova, ≥25%

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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