Will Trump pardon a Cabinet member?
Markets
Will a sitting member of Trump's Cabinet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
- Yes85%
- No15%
Volume $590.4 · Liquidity $590.4
Resolution rules
If a sitting member of Trump's Cabinet has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve after Issuance and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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