Skip to content

How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

Markets

  • At least 15

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $11.4K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • At least 12

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $5.7K

  • At least 19

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $3.1K

  • At least 20

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $6.1K

  • At least 22

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • At least 14

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $2K

  • At least 21

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • At least 17

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • At least 11

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $850

  • At least 18

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $2.5K

  • At least 16

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1K

  • At least 13

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • At least 10

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $151.7 · Liquidity $120.8

Resolution rules

If the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Democratic Party candidates is at least 10 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses