How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms?
Markets
At least 2
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $18K · Liquidity $5.7K
At least 1
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volume $7.7K · Liquidity $4.3K
At least 3
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $44.4 · Liquidity $44.4
Resolution rules
If the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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