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Will China approve extra central government bonds of at least 1 trillion yuan?

Markets

  • Will China approve extra central government bonds of at least 1 trillion yuan before Apr 1, 2027?

    • Yes16%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If China agrees to or announces approval by the National People's Congress or its Standing Committee of at least 1 trillion yuan in additional central government bonds above the amount in its most recently approved annual central budget before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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