Skip to content

Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

Markets

  • DeepSeek

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $449.4 · Liquidity $412

  • Moonshot AI

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $175 · Liquidity $7

  • Gotion High-Tech

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $120.5 · Liquidity $100.5

  • WuXi Biologics

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $82 · Liquidity $14

  • ByteDance

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $31.2 · Liquidity $11.2

  • Xiaomi

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $7.5 · Liquidity $7.5

Resolution rules

If the United States Department of Defense announces the inclusion of DeepSeek as an expressly named entity on the unclassified §1260H list of Chinese military companies before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses