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Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026?

Markets

  • Will the U.S. Court of International Trade rule issues a written ruling that holds unlawful, vacates, sets aside, or enjoins collection of the 10%–12.5% Section 301 forced-labor tariffs, in whole or in part, as to any party?

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $4.4K

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Court of International Trade issues a written ruling that holds unlawful, vacates, sets aside, or enjoins collection of the 10%–12.5% Section 301 forced-labor tariffs, in whole or in part, as to any party in any case challenging the Section 301 forced-labor tariffs imposed effective July 24, 2026, including Burlap and Barrel, Inc. v. United States and New York v. United States, No. 26-03467, or any consolidation or recaptioning thereof before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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