Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the polls?
Markets
Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $2.1K
Resolution rules
If Abdul El-Sayed's margin of victory outperforms that of the Real Clear Polling average at 10 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026 in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?
Christopher Luxon: 58%
24h vol $342 · Ends Nov 7, 2027
Cape Verde presidential election winner?
PAICV: 81%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 15, 2027
Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor?
No: 98%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 4, 2027
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
Smith, 3+ pts: 80%
24h vol $17.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Flanagan, 1+ pts: 82%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win: 70%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
North Carolina Senate margin of victory
Cooper, 1+ pts: 95%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win: 90%
24h vol $5K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 8.20M: 90%
24h vol $2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
California Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 10M: 95%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Michigan Governor-Senate combo
Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win: 69%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Iowa Senate margin of victory
Hinson, 2+ pts: 42%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2027

