Will Steve Hilton outperform the polls?
Markets
Will Steve Hilton outperform the Real Clear Polling average in the 2026 California governor election?
- Yes51%
- No49%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $1.2K
Resolution rules
If Steve Hilton's margin of victory outperforms that of the Real Clear Polling average at 10 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026 in the 2026 California governor election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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