Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
Markets
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum before 2030?
- Yes28%
- No72%
Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $1.3K
Resolution rules
If the Republic of Ireland agrees to or announces a formal government decision to hold a national referendum in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 41%
24h vol $320.9 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 46%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 32%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will women get a bigger share of NCAA settlement back pay?
No: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?
Before 2030: 27%
24h vol $15.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?
No: 60%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
Adam Telle: 41%
24h vol $41 · Ends Jan 8, 2030
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
No: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2030
Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?
Before Jul 1, 2029: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2029