Skip to content

Will the federal minimum wage be raised?

Markets

  • Before 2030

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $10

  • Before 2028

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before 2029

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the federal minimum wage is hiked before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses