Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
Markets
Will Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030?
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $1.2K
Resolution rules
If Northern Ireland agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Secretary of State for Northern Ireland to hold a border poll on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will any U.S. state change its name?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 6%
24h vol $200 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 46%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
No: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will women get a bigger share of NCAA settlement back pay?
No: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 12%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Before 2030: 32%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
No: 54%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2029
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
No: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jul 1, 2030