Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment?
Markets
Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment?
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $449.8 · Liquidity $193.2
Resolution rules
If the U.S. Supreme Court overturns in full the February 8, 2024 judgment awarding E. Jean Carroll $83.3 million in compensatory and punitive damages in Donald J. Trump v. E. Jean Carroll, No. 26-141, or United States v. E. Jean Carroll, et al., No. 26-142, including any consolidation of those petitions before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
No: 99%
24h vol $254 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
No: 65%
24h vol $224.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 79%
24h vol $927.2 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
Yes: 74%
24h vol $313.2 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?
Yes: 83%
24h vol $2.8 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will the US create a national AI regulator?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 72%
24h vol $2 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 21%
24h vol $2 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $0.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 45%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 48%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028

