Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
Markets
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
- Yes35%
- No65%
Volume $6.6K · Liquidity $3.2K
Resolution rules
If the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a final merits disposition that the preliminary injunction no longer bars White House ballroom construction in National Park Service, et al. v. National Trust for Historic Preservation in the United States, No. 26A203, including any merits docket arising from the same dispute before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
No: 99%
24h vol $254 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment?
No: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?
Before Jul 1, 2028: 66%
24h vol $359.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will Putin and Zelenskyy meet?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 28%
24h vol $357.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 76%
24h vol $205 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 93%
24h vol $23 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 31%
24h vol $19.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
Before 2028: 17%
24h vol $5 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 50%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?
Yes: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Before Jul 1, 2028: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?
No: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029