Alaska Senate margin of victory
Markets
Mary Peltola, 4+ pts
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $133 · Liquidity $66.5
Mary Peltola, 2+ pts
- Yes60%
- No40%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Mary Peltola, 6+ pts
- Yes28%
- No72%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Mary Peltola, 8+ pts
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Mary Peltola, 10+ pts
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Mary Peltola wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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