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Michigan Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Sayed, 5+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $158.9K · Liquidity $123.2K

  • Sayed, 3+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $154.5K · Liquidity $105.3K

  • Sayed, 7+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $82.7K · Liquidity $69.8K

  • Sayed, 1+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $32.6K · Liquidity $19.6K

  • Sayed, 9+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $29K · Liquidity $15.1K

  • Sayed, 11+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $4.7K

  • Sayed, 15+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $3.3K

  • Sayed, 13+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.4K

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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