Iowa Senate margin of victory
Markets
Turek, 2+ pts
- Yes40%
- No60%
Volume $29.8K · Liquidity $18.9K
Turek, 4+ pts
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $9.9K · Liquidity $5.1K
Turek, 6+ pts
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $2K
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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