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Alabama's 4th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Aderholt, 60+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $436 · Liquidity $436

  • Aderholt, 69+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $70 · Liquidity $70

  • Aderholt, 45+ pts

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Aderholt, 48+ pts

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Aderholt, 51+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Aderholt, 54+ pts

    • Yes83%
    • No18%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Aderholt, 57+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No32%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Aderholt, 63+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No68%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Aderholt, 66+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Alabama's 4th District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.