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Arkansas Governor margin of victory

Markets

  • Sanders, 25+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $210

  • Sanders, 28+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $479.9

  • Sanders, 13+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Sanders, 19+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $951.1 · Liquidity $743.4

  • Sanders, 22+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $425.2 · Liquidity $400.2

  • Sanders, 10+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $275 · Liquidity $160

  • Sanders, 16+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • Sanders, 34+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Sanders, 4+ pts

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sanders, 7+ pts

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Sanders, 31+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arkansas by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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